Experts Warn: Could This Country Break Elon Musk And Donald Trump’s Budding Alliance? Here’s Why

Elon Musk, the billionaire businessman and visionary leader of Tesla and SpaceX, is widely recognized as an innovative force and an adventurous entrepreneur. However, experts are raising concerns that Musk’s increasing closeness to China could strain his burgeoning relationship with Donald Trump, whose administration he recently joined.

Although Musk has been a vocal supporter of Trump’s agenda and contributed millions to his campaign, he was handpicked by the President-elect to head the Government Efficiency Department. Yet, Musk’s business considerations—particularly the expansion of Tesla’s Shanghai ‘gigafactory’—might put him at odds with Trump’s administration.

Neil Thomas of the Asia Society Policy Institute highlighted this potential conflict, stating, “There is a risk of one of the two capsizing the other. Trump and Musk may clash when it comes to tightening economic restrictions aimed at China.”

Trump and Musk: Diverging Policies on China

One of Trump’s key campaign promises was to address trade deficits, particularly the $500 billion deficit with China, which contributes significantly to the overall $800 billion U.S. trade imbalance. Trump has frequently advocated tariffs as a solution.

In a 2018 interview, Trump explained, “Today, we have an international trade deficit approaching $800 billion. About $500 billion is with China alone. We need to address this imbalance, and tariffs are a way to do it.”

Trump’s administration introduced tariffs on Chinese imports as part of efforts to reduce this deficit. However, Musk’s approach differs significantly.

Musk’s Neutral Stance on China

Unlike Trump’s hardline stance, Musk has adopted a neutral, and at times supportive, position towards China. He has praised the country’s progress and expressed concerns over rising tensions between the United States and China, emphasizing the importance of free trade.

Musk has also criticized tariffs, including those imposed by the Biden administration, calling them counterproductive to free trade. He stated, “Neither Tesla nor I have ever sought such tariffs. They constrain the circulation of goods and services and disrupt market equilibrium.”

Musk credits Tesla’s success in China to fair competition rather than government support, reinforcing his belief in a level playing field.

Can Musk Sway Trump on China Policy?

Despite their differing views, some analysts believe Musk could influence Trump’s China policy.

Laura Smith, a presidential historian from Oxford University, noted that Musk’s resources and influence make him a valuable ally. She explained, “Trump is not a policy savant and may face more disagreements during his second term due to exposure to complex issues. Musk’s input could help shape his approach.”

Neil Thomas agreed, suggesting that Trump respects Musk’s achievements and may be open to moderating his China strategy. “The President-elect may focus on specific aspects of the U.S.-China relationship because of his strong bond with Musk, even if interfacing with other members of the foreign policy team proves challenging,” Thomas said.

The impact of Musk’s ties to China on his relationship with Trump remains uncertain. While their shared entrepreneurial outlook has brought them together, their divergent views on China could create significant challenges in the months ahead.