Is S. Jaishankar’s Visit To Maldives A Turning Point In India-Maldives Relations?

Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar’s three-day visit to the Maldives, beginning August 9, 2024, marks the first high-level interaction between the two countries since President Mohamed Muizzu’s election in November 2023. This visit is poised to play a significant role in redefining the bilateral relationship between India and the Maldives.

Jaishankar is scheduled to meet several top officials during his trip, including President Mohamed Muizzu and Foreign Minister Moosa Zameer. The visit comes amid strained relations following Muizzu’s rise to power on an ‘India out’ platform, which included promises to remove Indian military personnel from the Maldives and critical comments about Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

This high-profile visit aims to address the current tensions and explore opportunities to strengthen the partnership between India and the Maldives. The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) emphasized the importance of this relationship for India’s ‘Neighbourhood First’ policy and the SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region) vision.

Background and Significance

Jaishankar’s visit is significant for several reasons:

1. Diplomatic First: This is the first high-level Indian visit to the Maldives since Muizzu took office. His presidency marked a shift from the India-friendly policies of his predecessor, Ibrahim Mohamed Solih, to a more China-leaning stance.
2. Historical Tensions: Relations between the two countries deteriorated under Muizzu, who ran on a platform opposing Indian influence. The Maldives’ suspension of Indian military personnel and negative remarks about Prime Minister Modi further strained ties. Muizzu’s choice to visit China first and sign defense agreements with Beijing added to the tension.
3. Recent Developments: Despite these issues, recent actions show a thaw in relations. In response to a request from the Maldivian government, India extended a $50 million loan to the Maldives and removed restrictions on essential goods exports, highlighting ongoing support despite diplomatic strains.
4. Strategic Importance: The Maldives’ location in the Indian Ocean is crucial for regional security. India has invested significantly in Maldivian infrastructure, including the Greater Male Connectivity Project, aimed at improving transportation links in the capital region.

Prospects for Improved Relations

Jaishankar’s visit follows a period of increased diplomatic activity. President Muizzu had previously visited India for Prime Minister Modi’s swearing-in and expressed optimism about future bilateral cooperation. Both nations are now looking to enhance their relationship, with potential future visits and continued cooperation on various fronts.

Despite Muizzu’s campaign rhetoric, analysts suggest that his foreign policy may become more balanced due to the Maldives’ economic challenges and debt obligations. India’s recent support, including financial assistance and trade concessions, demonstrates a commitment to maintaining strong ties despite political shifts in Male.

In summary, Jaishankar’s visit could be pivotal in mending and strengthening India-Maldives relations, setting the stage for renewed collaboration and addressing mutual concerns.

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